Gulf system development unlikely | CAT365

July 25, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Our Gulf system is now down to a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days.

It’s basically been stagnant in the Gulf. It missed its ride with the passing Low yesterday and now looks to be doomed by the approaching High. Models currently show the High strengthening and dipping down more, which should shred, block, and push the system out, sending remnants of moisture both east and west.  We should start to see this happen late today or Friday. This system will be likely be gone by late Friday, but Stranger Things (great show btw) have happened, so let’s continue to watch.

Here’s Friday’s model from the GFS showing the remnants being split apart:

GFS Model