NCEP Ensemble-based Probability (%) of tropical cyclone genesis for forecasts during the 00-120h period | August 7, 2020, 6:00am

The tropics cool down, but expected to heat back up next week | CAT365

August 7, 2020 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Well, it looks like we may get a well-deserved tropical break after our roller coaster of a storm Isaias.

Models continue to support a slow down in the tropics for the next few days but indicate we could start seeing activity pick back up along the Main Development Region (MDR) later next week.

There seems to be a potential wave coming off the coast of Africa late next week that could ride along the MDR towards the Antilles through next weekend.

This wave is currently supported by several models, including the EURO, so be sure to keep an eye out for this.

For now, let’s enjoy the down time we have and use it to make sure we’re prepared for our next tropical roller coaster.