August is the start of MDR season, and we could start to see some action this week.
![NCEP Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC genesis | August 2, 2021](https://www.thig.com/assets/uploads/genprob.aeperts.2021080206.altg_.000_120.png)
Currently we don’t have anything showing on the NOAA site, but there is a lot of energy pushing off the African coast today, so I assume this could change.
So what’s on the horizon?
#1:
- We have some big systems rolling off the African coast today.
- These storms have the potential to regroup and develop over the next few days.
- Some models show decent strengthening through the week and a push westward.
- Need to monitor closely
#2:
- We also could see another set of storms roll off Africa later this week.
- These could also have the potential to develop and push westward.
- More to come
So by this weekend, we could have at least two areas to watch over the next week or so.
Stay tuned.
![](https://www.thig.com/assets/uploads/Chad-Trosper-1.jpg)
Chad Trosper is the AVP of Catastrophe Claims at Tower Hill Insurance. He has over 19 years of experience in the claims industry and a true passion for weather. Chad graduated from the University of Florida with a degree in Business and Sociology and also holds a master’s certification in Business Process Management from the University of San Francisco. Chad currently resides in Gainesville, Florida, with his wife and three children.