Atlantic 5-Day Outlook | May 13, 2020

Atlantic system now has a 70% chance of development over the next five days | CAT365

May 13, 2020 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Currently models agree that this system will develop and could strengthen into a TD or TS by this weekend.

By the end of this week, we should see a lot of moisture building near the Bahamas.

NOAA give this moisture a 70% chance of developing over the next five days.

Atlantic 5-Day Outlook | May 13, 2020

Some modeling is pushing the system ENE out into the Atlantic, but there are a few forecasts that do bring the system closer to the Florida coast as it starts to develop.

gfs_mslpaNorm_atl_15.202005130600
ecmwf_mslpaNorm_atl_6.202005130600

Could we see our first named storm of the 2020 season?  The possibility is there.

If so, it will be named Arthur.

So keep an eye on this one.