Harold makes his appearance | CAT365

August 23, 2023 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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So as we expected, our tropical system strengthened prior to landfall and became Tropical Storm Harold.

Harold looked sloppy but still managed to tighten up some and bring some decent winds and rains to South Texas. Winds were gusting in the 50+ range in some portions. There were also some strong rogue storms that stretched out to the outer portions of Texas. All in all, we knew the Gulf was not going to let some deadbeat system pass through. The Gulf pushes out names for sure. Well, Harold is enjoying retirement in Mexico with a nice margarita (no salt). Enjoy Harold.

Harold's Tuesday path

We still have Franklin, who stalled and decided to pull north. Franklin is a tropical storm still with winds at 50mph, headed north at 10 mph. He’s expected to continue a north track for the next few days. Once into the Atlantic though, Franklin could strengthen again and could become a hurricane. We also should watch just in case, as he could try to shift west again before pulling back up northward.

Franklin Forecast

We have two waves pushing out into the Atlantic — AL07 (70%) and AL92 (30%). Both of these look to remain fish storms for now. Still watching AL92, as it has been jumping around on modeling. For now, we look good.

Seven Day Atlantic Outlook

As I have been HARPING on about for the last few weeks, we could see a Caribbean Creeper push into the Gulf in the next 5-10 days. Models continue to go off and on with this, but from what I see, we have a really decent chance of another Gulf system threatening the Gulf Coast next week or so. Be on the lookout for this wave folks. I just have a gut feeling.

Gulf Coast Outline

Stay tuned.