GFS MSLP (mb) & Normalized Anomaly | October 14, 2020

Invest 93 Weakens, and Eyes Now Turn to the Caribbean | CAT365

October 14, 2020 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Trouble may be brewing in the Caribbean.

I93 is down to a 10% chance of developing due to heavy shear.  We should continue to watch this system once past the Antilles since it could try to pull it together one last time next week.  Models don’t show much support for anything coming from I93 for now.

Invest 93 Spaghetti Models | October 14, 2020

As for the Caribbean, we need to watch this area very closely next week.  Models are showing potential for development early next week in the southeastern Caribbean.  October is the month were we see big storms come out of the Caribbean, so this area is a hot spot for sure — same for the southeastern Atlantic near the Bahamas.

GFS MSLP (mb) & Normalized Anomaly | October 14, 2020
October Tropical Development Zones