We currently have I99L building in the Caribbean with a 70% chance of developing.
I99 is expected to develop this week and push into the Gulf by this weekend. Models have been consistent with its development, and most agree on a strong system forming once it’s in the Gulf.
As for track, most agree on a northwest route toward Texas/Louisiana, but even Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida should monitor the system as shifts in track are to be expected this early on.
Again, lots can change, and we won’t have a good idea on path until we see a low level center located within the system. So for now, we should monitor 99 closely, as it could affect the Gulf Coast as a strong system as early as Monday/Tuesday of next week.
More to come.
Chad Trosper is the Catastrophe Claims Director at Tower Hill Insurance. He has over 18 years of experience in the claims industry and a true passion for weather. Chad graduated from the University of Florida with a degree in Business and Sociology and also holds a master’s certification in Business Process Management from the University of San Francisco. Chad currently resides in Gainesville, Florida, with his wife and three children.