NCEP Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC genesis

Something to watch next week | CAT365

July 15, 2020 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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As previously mentioned, we could see some moisture push into the Gulf in the next 7-10 days.

Models continue to indicate a wave pushing off the African coast late this weekend that has the potential to bring energy across the Main Development Region (MDR) into the Gulf by next weekend.NCEP Ensemble-based Probability (%) of TC genesisNothing official, and this is too far out to hang your hat on, but we should definitely watch this potential wave closely.

ECMWF Mean MSLP (hPa) & Normalized Anomaly from 7/20/2020 to 7/25/2020