Humberto NHC Forecast Cone | September 16, 2019 5am ET

Hurricane Humberto and Invest 97L | CAT365

September 16, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Hurricane Humberto is heading northeast at 5 mph with winds at 85 mph. It’s no threat to the U.S., but Bermuda may see some action.

5-Day Tropical Outlook | September 16, 2019, 8am ET

5-Day Tropical Outlook | September 16, 2019, 8am ET

Our wave in the Gulf is down to a 10 percent chance of development as it heads towards Texas this week.

Our Atlantic system (I97) is now up to an 80 percent chance of development. Most models are agreeing early on I97’s path and have it pulling northward near the Antilles and then curving more NNW from there. Currently, it’s not a threat to the Bahamas or U.S. based on recent runs, so that’s a plus.

Invest 97L Models | September 16, 2019

Invest 97L Models | September 16, 2019

We should still watch it though, since we have seen these early forecasts dramatically change quickly.

Models are also sniffing out a possible final hurrah MDR wave coming off Africa the last week of September, so we’ll be watching for this also.

I’ll continue to stick with my 2019 mantra, #TakeTheBeastEast, since it seems to be working so far….