Tropical Cyclone Formation Conditions | August 27, 2019

Dorian, the Little Engine That Could | CAT365

August 27, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Dorian is currently over the Lesser Antilles as a tropical storm with winds at 50 mph and heading WNW at 13 mph.

Dorian is currently over the Lesser Antilles as a tropical storm with winds at 50 mph and heading WNW at 13 mph.

Dorian NHC Forecast Cone | August 26, 2019

Tropical Storm Dorian update | 8/26/2019 | CAT365

August 26, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Dorian is currently east of the Lesser Antilles and heading west at 13 mph with 60 mph winds.

Dorian is currently east of the Lesser Antilles and heading west at 13 mph with 60 mph winds.

Invest 98L | August 23, 2019

Heating up in the tropics… | CAT365

August 23, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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…but that’s to be expected this time of year.

…but that’s to be expected this time of year.

Atlantic Water Vapor | August 22, 2019

Chantal down and out, and new spots to watch this week | CAT365

August 22, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Chantal has blown herself out and is a post-tropical cyclone currently. She is not expected to impact land.

Chantal has blown herself out and is a post-tropical cyclone currently. She is not expected to impact land.

Disturbance #2 | August 21, 2019

Chantal is named, and our newest system to watch | CAT365

August 21, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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A trio of updates today as the Atlantic starts to show signs of life.

A trio of updates today as the Atlantic starts to show signs of life.

Atlantic Satellite | August 20, 2019

Two areas to watch this week | CAT365

August 20, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Looks like we may have two areas to watch this week in the Atlantic.

Looks like we may have two areas to watch this week in the Atlantic.

Gulf of Mexico Moisture | August 14, 2019

Watching The Gulf Next Week | CAT365

August 14, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Still watching the tropics as moisture looks to be readily available as we head into late next week.

Still watching the tropics as moisture looks to be readily available as we head into late next week.

Madden–Julian Oscillation | August 12, 2019

Areas to watch | | 12 Aug 2019 | CAT365

August 12, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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It’s quiet… for now.

It’s quiet… for now.

Dry air and SDR around Invest 96L yesterday

Invest 96L down to a 50% chance of development | CAT365

August 2, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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Dry air and SDR (Saharan Dust Layer) took their toll on poor old 96 yesterday and weakened it quite a bit.

Dry air and SDR (Saharan Dust Layer) took their toll on poor old 96 yesterday and weakened it quite a bit.

Invest 96L Forecast Track Models | August 1, 2019

Wave #2 promoted to Invest 96L | CAT365

August 1, 2019 | Chad Trosper, BPMP

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I96L is now at a 70% chance of development over the next five days.

I96L is now at a 70% chance of development over the next five days.